# Daily Report — 2026-05-10
_Generated: 2026-05-10 23:00 UTC_

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## 📈 Price Action

| Symbol | Last | 1d % | 30d % | Vol z |
|--------|------|------|-------|-------|
| GC_F (Gold Futures (f) | 4697.7002 | -0.48% | -11.27% | -0.01σ |
| SI_F (Silver Futures ) | 79.98 | -0.52% | -9.41% | -0.07σ |
| PL_F (Platinum Future) | 2042.0 | -0.25% | -11.67% | -0.06σ |
| PA_F (Palladium Futur) | 1482.5 | -0.01% | -15.89% | 1.62σ |
| GLD (SPDR Gold Share) | 433.77 | 0.48% | -3.9% | -0.98σ |
| SLV (iShares Silver ) | 73.01 | 1.97% | 7.8% | -0.97σ |
| PPLT (Aberdeen Platin) | 186.01 | 0.97% | 2.47% | -1.17σ |
| DXY (US Dollar Index) | 98.061 | 0.23% | -0.32% | Noneσ |
| TNX (10Y Treasury Yi) | 4.364 | -0.64% | 7.7% | Noneσ |
| VIX (Volatility Inde) | 17.19 | 0.64% | -15.28% | Noneσ |
| SPY (S&P 500) | 737.62 | 0.83% | 8.27% | -1.08σ |
| CL_F (WTI Crude Oil) | 97.98 | 2.68% | 37.55% | -1.88σ |
| BZ_F (Brent Crude Oil) | 103.89 | 2.57% | 33.64% | -1.45σ |
| ZW_F (Wheat Futures) | 619.0 | 2.87% | 7.75% | 0.32σ |
| CC_F (Cocoa Futures) | 4326.0 | -0.69% | 47.59% | 1.85σ |

## 🎯 Trading Signals (today)

- **Paper trades (auto):** 0 signals, PnL $0.00
- **Real trades (manual):** 0 trades, PnL $0.00

## 🔗 Cross-Correlations & Regime Shifts

### Observations
- [MEDIUM] Gold/Silver Ratio 58.5 — extreme low (silver expensive)
  - GSR < 60 historically signals gold outperformance setup

### Key correlation pairs (50-bar)

## 📰 News & Sentiment

- Headlines today: 49
- Metals-relevant: 24
- Sentiment distribution: {'BULLISH_METALS': 17, 'BEARISH_METALS': 3, 'NEUTRAL': 27}

### Top high-impact headlines
- **[BEARISH_METALS]** Pimco CIO Sees Risk of Fed Hiking Rates Due to Iran War, FT Says
  - Geopolitical escalation (Iran war) mixed with Fed hiking risk increases real yields and USD strength, both headwinds for gold/silver; risk-off dynamic
- **[BULLISH_METALS]** Soaring Death Toll In Lebanon As Full-Fledged Israel, Hezbollah Fighting Returns
  - Active Middle East conflict escalation is major safe-haven trigger for gold/silver; significant risk-off pressure on equities (NQ).
- **[BULLISH_METALS]** Secret Israeli Base Hidden In Iraqi Desert Backed Operations Inside Iran
  - Israeli military escalation in Iraq/Iran region significantly elevates Middle East geopolitical risk, driving safe-haven demand for gold while creatin

## 🌐 Macro Context

- **DXY:** 98.061 (0.23%) — NEUTRAL
- **VIX:** 17.19 (0.64%) — risk-ON
- **TNX:** 4.364% (-0.64%)

### COT positioning (latest weekly)
- Report date: 2026-05-05
  - **GC**: NC Net +163,303 (57.6% long) ⚠️ EXTREME
  - **SI**: NC Net +23,892 (34.0% long) ⚠️ EXTREME
  - **PL**: NC Net +17,785 (44.0% long) ⚠️ EXTREME

## 🧪 Strategy Backtest Results

- Strategies tested today: 738
- Active (n_trades > 0): 28
- Qualifying (PF≥1.5 + WR≥45% + n≥30): 0

### Active strategies (with trades)
| Strategy | Instr | n | WR% | PF | PnL$ |
|----------|-------|---|------|-----|------|
| po3_manip_reversal | SI1! | 2 | 50.0% | 10.0 | $1725.0 |
| cvd_divergence_reversal | SI1! | 3 | 66.7% | 10.0 | $5875.0 |
| po3_manip_reversal | SI1! | 2 | 50.0% | 10.0 | $1725.0 |
| cvd_divergence_reversal | SI1! | 3 | 66.7% | 10.0 | $5875.0 |
| vah_breakout_continuation | SI1! | 8 | 25.0% | 3.04 | $3775.0 |
| vah_breakout_continuation | SI1! | 8 | 25.0% | 3.04 | $3775.0 |
| mtf_divergence_override | SI1! | 3 | 33.3% | 0.38 | $-1025.0 |
| mtf_divergence_override | SI1! | 3 | 33.3% | 0.38 | $-1025.0 |
| ema_pullback_trend | PL1! | 3 | 33.3% | 0.35 | $-102.5 |
| ema_pullback_trend | PL1! | 3 | 33.3% | 0.35 | $-102.5 |
| rsi_oversold_bounce | PL1! | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0 | $-150.0 |
| macd_cross_trend | SI1! | 1 | 0.0% | 0.0 | $-900.0 |
| ema_pullback_trend | GC1! | 2 | 0.0% | 0.0 | $-900.0 |
| ema_pullback_trend | SI1! | 2 | 0.0% | 0.0 | $-862.5 |
| po3_manip_reversal | GC1! | 1 | 0.0% | 0 | $0.0 |

## 🌐 Macro Inflection Triggers

- **Next trigger:** BRC Retail Sales Monitor y/y [GBP] in 24.0h (2026-05-11T23:01:00+00:00)
- In macro window (≤24h): **True**
- Total triggers (48h): 8

### Metal setups going into event
- **GC1!**: 48h move `-0.49%` range `0.61%` → **VOLATILITY_BREAKOUT**
  - Compression — range only 0.61% in last 48h — expect post-event expansion
- **SI1!**: 48h move `+0.57%` range `0.83%` → **VOLATILITY_BREAKOUT**
  - Compression — range only 0.83% in last 48h — expect post-event expansion
- **PL1!**: 48h move `+0.13%` range `0.27%` → **VOLATILITY_BREAKOUT**
  - Compression — range only 0.27% in last 48h — expect post-event expansion
- **HG1!**: 48h move `+0.42%` range `0.42%` → **VOLATILITY_BREAKOUT**
  - Compression — range only 0.42% in last 48h — expect post-event expansion
- **NQ1!**: 48h move `+0.12%` range `0.15%` → **VOLATILITY_BREAKOUT**
  - Compression — range only 0.15% in last 48h — expect post-event expansion

## 📚 Mentor Research Insights

- No mentor research yet (run via `/mentors` panel or `python -m src.mentor_research weekly`)

## 📅 Tomorrow's Calendar

- · `13:48` UTC [USD] **Cleveland Fed Inflation Expectations** — forecast: 
- · `14:00` UTC [USD] **Existing Home Sales** — forecast: 4.05M
- ⚠️ `23:01` UTC [GBP] **BRC Retail Sales Monitor y/y** — forecast: 0.7%
- · `23:30` UTC [JPY] **Household Spending y/y** — forecast: -1.4%
- · `23:50` UTC [JPY] **BOJ Summary of Opinions** — forecast: 

## 📌 Key Takeaways

- **High-impact news:** 3 items (review for tomorrow setup)

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_Auto-generated by Metals Trading System · v3.0 Autonomous Learning_